.comment-link {margin-left:.6em;}

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

The Kids Will Be Fine

In March, the 2013 Red Sox season appeared to be a “bridge year.”  It was anything but. 

Simply, the Sox met or exceed expectations at nearly every spot on the roster.  These outlier performances got the Olde Towne Team to October baseball and the magic continued in the postseason.  Incredible pitching performances, timely hitting and a little luck brought the big prize back to Boston for the third time in ten years.  A younger me would have never believed that the Red Sox would be this successful.  These are truly the best of times to be a Sox fan.

The future is bright as well.  The Sox boast one of the best farm systems, according to Baseball America.  The 2014 season could be the year that the Red Sox get to the other side of the bridge. 

The promise land is one where the Sox have a plentiful number of prospects that leads to a roster filled with productive players at below market cost year after year.  This type of team construction would give Yawkey Way the financial flexibility to seize any opportunity and roster a contender every season.

Currently, the 2014 Sox are a ninety to ninety-two win team based on a reasonable ZIPS projection.  They should be in the hunt to play October baseball once again. 

The ZIPS pitching forecast is rationale.  The only one to quibble with is Koji Uehara’s .261 BABIP appears to be an outlier when the rest of the staff is around .290.  Regardless, it is unlikely to change the bottom line, which indicates the Sox will have an effective and deep staff with options in the minors. 

On the offensive side, the projection includes Xander Bogaerts, Will Middlebrooks and Jackie Bradley, Jr. playing virtually every day.  ZIPS has Bogaerts hitting 267/331/429 with his best comparable player being Troy Tulowitzki (this is not a misprint).  The system pegs WMB at 249/291/425 and JBJ patrolling center field with a line of 245/322/375.  These are sensible projections and the Sox do have backup plans.

If WMB does not meet his expectations, Garin Cecchini is a possible internal option.  ZIPS has him hitting 266/342/374. 

Daniel Nava’s line of 257/344/384 is a bit pessimist.  He can build on his 2013.  Nava has the chance to adjust his approach, like Kevin Youkilis did, which could lead to more power.  Nava can be a late bloomer.  We know JBJ will go get it in center and a lower hitting line could be offset by a better one from Nava. 

The Sox need a safety net for X at shortstop; just not in the form of Stephen Drew.  Bringing back Drew would likely necessitate a trade that erodes their pitching depth for the Sox to stay under the luxury tax and would forgo a compensation draft pick.  It would also limit the playing time and development of X and WMB.  Jayson Nix is a better option as a backup.  As the best Red Sox position prospect for some time, X deserves a long leash like Dustin Pedroia had his rookie season.  Relax and get ready to enjoy another laser show.


<< Home

0 Old Comments:

Thank you - Red Sox!

This site is not associated with the Boston Red Sox, Major League Baseball nor Major League Players Assoication

© 2003-2010 Thomas J. Fratamico, III

All Rights Reserved

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?

Best deals on Red Sox Tickets at Ticketmomma.com. Over 25 years experience.

Who is El Guapo's Ghost?

Want to become a sponsor?

Follow ElGuaposGhost on Twitter

Join our team of experts that provide the latest strategies and tricks in Poker, we dare you to Playusout. If that's not your specialty, maybe you can try going Extreme in Europe, or visit our revolution portal at D-rev.

2009 A.L. Playoff Preview

Part 1 Part 2