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Wednesday, November 04, 2009

ANALYZING THE RED SOX RUMORS

We discussed why Adrian Gonzalez is unlikely coming to Boston. Next up is Felix Hernandez. Roy Halladay will be added as well as the previously mentioned Hanley Ramirez and a trade target to be named later.

THEY DON’T GROW ON TREES EVEN WITH ALL THE RAIN IN SEATTLE

If your team is serious about winning a championship, then trading a young true #1 starter should be the last resort. These players are the most important component in going far in October. Plus, they are expensive in the free agent market (see: C.C. Sabathia’s $161M contract).

Only when an organization can not field a championship caliber team when they control their young true #1 starter should he be dealt. This should not be the case for the Mariners and Felix Hernandez, as the M’s have the financial means to sign the very young ace to be their cornerstone into the next decade. At only 24 years of age, Hernandez signing a four or five year deal would allow him for another large contract before his thirtieth birthday. It would appear to be a win-win for the M’s-Hernandez so it stands a high probability to getting accomplished.

Even if King Felix is being shopped, the Sox have fewer bullets after the Victor Martinez trade to exchange for Hernandez. Also, as we mentioned in an earlier post, Theo Epstein is…

"…trying to grow the organization to the point where we don't have to ever get a free agent. We're probably closer to that point now then we were two or three offseasons ago. It's a lesson learned for sure."

It would appear that the Red Sox do not want to move more prospects as it would likely necessitate further risky and expensive free agent acquisitions in the near future. But Yawkey Way has been known to make exceptions.

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