Tuesday, December 30, 2008
Bard is a nice pickup. In 2006 and 2007, he just hit the crap out of the ball. Last year, Bard was hurt and his production fell off. He could be in line for a little bit of a comeback season.
Brad Penny is an okay signing. It is certainly not the high upside play most are describing the signing.
He is unlikely to be an upgrade over the 2008 Sox primary trio of fifth starters. Colon, Buchholz and Byrd over 30 GS and 164 innings averaged 6.8 K/9, 2.05 K/BB and gave up 24 homers. In Penny's best year - 2006, he put up a 7.0 K/9, 2.74 K/BB and gave up 19 dingers over 189 innings. The former Marlin and Dodger pitched marginaly better, but did so two years ago, prior to his 2008 injury, in a prime age 28 season, in the NL and playing his home games in a pitcher's park. In 2006, Penny had every advantage. In 2009, he won't have any. Unless the scouts see something that can be fixed, it would be surprising to see Penny have a better line the Sox #5s in 2008.