Monday, November 03, 2008
On April 15, 2008, I wrote that…
Two of the largest traditional non-voting demographic groups - young adults and African-Americans – are attracted to Obama. Without him, they are more likely to stay home than Clinton’s base of traditional aged female voters. The number of new voters is doubtful to be an issue in the Presidential election, but maybe down the ticket in swing states. Higher turnout among traditionally liberal young adults and African-Americans could add seats in DC and in state capitals. Even though higher turnout may not put more D’s in office right away from conservative states like North Carolina and Georgia, but it could shift the political dialogue from the center-far right to the center-right spurring more compromises between the parties.
N.C. Senator Dole appears to be going down, and possibly, hopefully Georgia Senator Saxby Chambliss is NOT going back to D.C. as well as Senator McConnell. As far as the big one, it appears that McCain has to win PA or Obama has a 98% chance of being the next POTUS. I know and believe in the numbers but I’m still nervous.