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Wednesday, January 16, 2008

THE FIRE IS STILL HOT BUT IT IS FADING

No matter how much their patience is being tested, the Twins are waiting for these teams to come to them.

If the Twins keep this up, they will be dealing Santana in-season and moving into the high stakes poker room. It would be an incredibly risky decision.

First off, Santana could get hurt. Second, he could nix any deal or use his leverage to set the bar incredibly high for pitchers like A-Hole did. After each 2008 start, the superstar southpaw assumes less risk heading towards free agency, which should increase his salary demands. Santana could want $200M over nine years (Average Annual Value $22.22M) or a little more than 25% more than Barry Zito AAV. That would make each of the three financial giants, at the very least, think again. Of course, an event could make one of the three desperate enough to meet Smith’s price or Pedro and Oliver Perez could find their 2004 form, Phil Hughes could live up to all the hype and Jon Lester proves cancer held him back the last few seasons. No one knows; it is a risk.

Smith has already waited too long, as Joe Nathan’s trade market has disappeared outside of their division. So at this point, it might be worth the gamble. Assuming the reported offers are true, it has to be tough to say no to a potential ace in Phil Hughes.

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