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Thursday, November 08, 2007


The most underrated Reporter in Boston got a great scoop. Nick Cafardo also said that the Sox made a three-year deal to Mike Lowell. Three years is likely below market, but makes a ton of sense for the Sox. 2006 Lowell is a very good bet for the next two seasons and a good possibility in 2010, but 2011 is a question. The ability to move Youk and acquire a first baseman allows the Sox to take a hard line with Lowell.

If Lowell rejects the Sox offer, they should move on and be aggressive in the acquiring Miguel Cabrera. LAA and the Dodgers appear to be the other likely suitors. Ken Rosenthal reported that the Marlins are looking for Howie Kendrick, Brandon Wood and Nick Adenhart. Kendrick would likely be underutilized at first, Wood’s status as a prospect has fallen as his strikeout totals have gone up and Adenhart probably will not help the Marlins biggest need last year - pitching and defense. A Sox offer of Ellsbury, Lester and a good A-ball prospect is a better fit for the Marlins.

The Dodgers are a team that could go veteran or go with the youth. If vet is the answer, than they blow the Sox offer out of the water. Andy La Roche, Clayton Kershaw, and Matt Kemp head to Miami and they try to hold onto the second biggest market in the U.S. On the flip side, they keep the youngsters and still compete in 2008. After 2008, Furcal, Lowe, Nomar, and Kent’s money ($40 million) come off the books for them to go shopping for starters and outfielders. The infield and pen will be covered by league minimum players. Unfortunately, the hiring of Joe Torre makes that scenario unlikely, and my bet is that Cabrera moves to LA.


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