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Sunday, October 28, 2007


Jon Lester has good stuff, but he has struggled with commanding it consistently since 2005 in Portland. Command is even more important for a pitcher taking the mound in Denver. Plus, Lester’s best pitch, the curveball, is not effective a mile high.

The Rockies starter, Aaron Cook, doesn’t look that much better. He is similar to Jake Westbrook as a sinkerball with questionable control. Cook’s fastball is going to be straighter and quicker in Denver, which should assist the Sox. Righties have to be concerned about the slider but southpaws can wait on the fastball. Drew, Big Papi or Tek take Cook deep tonight.

If either starter makes it through five, their team should have a significant advantage in this game but that is unlikely. With than being said, this looks like a bullpen game. After Okajima throwing 29 pitches last night, he is unlikely to be available for an extended outing. To a lesser extent, the same can be said about Timlin and Delcarmen. Gagne could be called upon for a big appearance before Papelbon in the eighth. Since this is do or die for the Rockies, everyone is available tonight. Plus, their best pitcher Manny Corpas should be ready to go two innings. The Rockies, on paper, have the advantage tonight, but the Sox may be in their heads. Anyway, this is going to be a late one tonight.



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