Friday, July 06, 2007
The Reds will likely trade Adam Dunn this summer. They should not wait until next year because Dunn will have full and partial no-trade power that would severely decrease the Reds leverage in negotiations with other clubs. The time is now to move the slugger, but to who?
Given Dunn’s defensive shortfalls, he best fits as a DH. The Twins and L.A. need help at the position, but both frown on high strikeout hitters. Thus, it is unlikely that Terry Ryan or Bill Stoneman would meet the Reds price for a summer sublet. The MFY are an option with all of their health issues, although a long shot since they have been unwilling to part with young pitchers.
In the N.L., the Padres are not going to put Dunn in the huge PETCO leftfield. Nomar moving to third for James Loney pretty much takes the Dodgers out of the equation. Arizona is unlikely to give up on their young players. To varying degrees, the Phillies, Mets, Cubs and Brewers are set in left and at first.
The market for Dunn is small and the Red Sox could capitalize. At the right price (a pair of B pitching prospects) and inking Dunn to an two-year extension makes sense. He would start at first in 2008 and beyond with Youk moving across the diamond to third. Dave Magadan, Ortiz and Manny can show Dunn how to use the Monster, which could cut down on the strikeouts increasing his BA, OBP and productivity.
Right now, Dunn is a better insurance policy than WMP and Hinske against Lowell’s hand, Youk’s quad, Drew being made out of glass, Manny’s hammy, and Big Papi’s legs. He also gives the Sox another long ball threat. And over only two months, Tito can find enough playing time for Dunn and everyone else.