Wednesday, March 01, 2006
Yesterday, I said that prospect rankings don't matter because the basis for each differ. The only thing that is important is who's on the lists. Red Sox prospect Dustin Pedroia is example numero uno.
Jim Callis of Baseball America in an ESPN chat described Pedroia as...a good player who plays bigger than his size because his great hand-eye coordination allows him to swing from his heels while still making consistent contact...My personal projection for Pedroia is that he's a .280 hitter with 10-15 homers annually in the majors while playing a solid 2B (or an adequate SS). I think that's a lot closer to the 77th-best prospect than the 11th-best prospect. Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA system has pegged Dustin Pedroia as a 300/360/460 with 12-13 homers over the next five seasons and is their #11 prospect.
Those two projections are very close but BA had DP at #77 and BP had him at #11. Again, rankings don't mean jack.