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Wednesday, May 26, 2004

DOCTOR, DOCTOR GIVE ME THE NEWS

• Medicine is not an exact science but Bill Morgan, MD has been in a terrible slump. First, it was Brandon Lyon which cost Dirty Sanchez. Second, it was missing Nixon’s back issue during an exam [I am assuming Morgan gave him a physical prior to signing the long-term deal], then Burks, Nomar, and now Mueller. When is the mainstream media going to connect the dots? Now, Morgan is not a poor MD – many players in the past went to bat for him and he is not affiliated with the Sox Medical Center - but his recent troubles need to be exposed.

• The Sox pen is well rested. All arms should be on deck for next couple of games which could prove to be an advantage. The A’s need a strong outing tonight from Redman after last night to give the pen a rest. Hammond and Rincon are likely not available tonight after each throwing more than 30 pitches.

Joe Sheenan of BP came to a similar conclusion after checking out the Sox adjusted standings. With 228 runs scored and 180 runs allowed, their record of 27-17 is a match for their Pythag mark. But according to Clay Davenport's calculations, the Sox should have a 241-167 edge in runs. The offensive gap, which has cost them at least one win, is mostly explained by the team's early-season struggles with runners on base: 251/.342/.403, as opposed to a whopping .281/.364/.468 with the bases empty. There's no reason to believe that the Sox have some inability to hit with runners on--most teams hit a bit better in that situation--and their performance in May has been much better than what they did in April, so they should be find going forward…That the Red Sox are a game-and-a-half ahead of the Yankees, with underlying quality indicators that show them to be the better team, and with them having yet to get anything from about $14 million worth of hitters, is a great sign for Sox fans.

• Orsillo has gotten fatter and bronzed since the start of the season which puts an unpleasant picture in my head – Orsillo eating a huge cheese burger in a bathing suit poolside at some hotel or even worse in a tanning bed. My apologizes for that one.

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