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Sunday, April 04, 2004

WHAT COULD DAMPEN MY SPIRITS?

Burlington seems to be almost as stoked (I am probably too old to use that term, but WTF) for the start of the Sox season as I am. A local watering hole is having a promo not for Opening Day but Tuesday's game that starts at 3pm. Schilling's first Sox start, free stuff, beer specials and Bud Girls could make Tuesday afternoon a memorable event. The somewhat pretentious coffee shop I now get my java from (I maybe becoming a true Vermont transplant - Dunkin' just aint doing it anymore) had "Go Sox" at the bottom of their daily offerings list. Plus, I've seen others in Sox apparel today. Good vibes!

Rolling through the media

Gordon Edes thinks that the Sox

are faced with the tricky calculus of how to craft an offer for Martinez that factors in the possibility that he may break down.

Well, I gave Theo and company the blueprint for Pedro's contract.

Bob Hohler quotes DLowe

"It's a risk you're taking that you can sign guys at the end of the year," Lowe said. "You're going to have two weeks to sign guys.

Well that is not necessarily the case. The Sox get exclusive rights to work out a contract during the two week period. If the player is offered arbitration, which all of the free agents will be (I bet a paycheck on this one), the Sox can sign any of their upcoming free agents throughout the winter. Now I don't think DLowe should know this, perhaps he does and his full comment did not make it into article, regardless Hohler should have clarified the free agent process after the quote or published his entire conversation with Lowe. The Sox will have more than two weeks to sign any of the free agents.

Nate Silver and Baseball Prospectus forecasts the Sox winning 106 games and the MFY 106.4. Silver writes

It is likely that these projections are underestimating the negative impact that the Yanks' poor defense could play--a defensive adjustment is built into the pitcher PECOTAs, but is done in a very conservative manner. Still, it would take a coincidence of several cataclysmic happenings for either team to miss the playoffs, and both clubs have the money to hedge against even that.

Should I be rooting for Jeter to stay healthy so Torre doesn't play A-Hole at SS?

Are we there yet? Is it eight yet? Is it eight yet? Is it eight yet?

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