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Monday, March 22, 2004

UPDATE

It appears that my Pedro analysis will have to wait until next week. I did not get to it this weekend because I saw Jon Stewart at the Orpheum in Boston on Saturday, had a family commitment and then the drive through a spring snow storm on Sunday night. I’ll write it this weekend; most of the research is done.

Tonight is my fantasy draft. It is AL only minus all MFY. No one should be subject to buying a MFY. We play with a $100 cap for 15 players (8 position players + 1 util/dh, 5 pitchers and a bench player). The pot is spilt 60/30/10. We score 5X5 plus OBP with seven teams. My comments on the draft should be ready by Wednesday.

ROLLING THROUGH THE NEWS

Ray Ratto missed one important detail- Jermaine Dye's $11 million dollar salary comes off the books next season. The A's are basically exchanging Dye with Chavez in 2005. Chavez's $5.2 million dollar 2004 salary will be going to the Big Three's 2005 salary bumps. It is not a philosophy change. The numbers work.

A couple of Sox notes from Rosenthal’s latest column:

The Red Sox expect RF Trot Nixon to miss only the first month with a mildly herniated disk in his lower back, but one scout is concerned that the player could experience further problems. "His torque is just as significant as Vladimir Guerrero's, but he doesn't have the flexibility that Guerrero does," the scout says. Nixon, who turns 30 on April 11, gained nearly 30 pounds between the end of the 2002 season and the start of 2003. . . .

Astros Class AAA RHP Kirk Saarloos is coveted by teams that lean heavily on statistical analysis. Three such clubs -- the A's, Blue Jays and Red Sox -- have expressed interest in him this spring. Those teams evidently are impressed by Saarloos' low walk and home run rates in the minors and undeterred by his below-average fastball. . . .


Saarloos’ low home run rate in the minors should be looked at more closely since he plays his AAA home games in the Southern City of Sin, New Orleans. It is far below sea level causing an opposite Coors Field affect. Scouts’ opinions on Saarloos should weigh heavily in the discussion.

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