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Friday, November 21, 2003

FURTHER DELAY due to...

* the A's review of Mark Kotsay's MRI before signing off on the deal
* the Danys Baez saga going into the final chapter
* the massive number of transactions placing minor leaguers on 40-man rosters to avoid allowing them to be claimed in the upcoming Rule V Draft. Comments on the Sox choices will be forth coming and other notables.
Once a decision is made on the Kotsay trade, a post regarding all interesting transactions will be made.

In the meantime, rumors continue to swirl around A-Rod, Manny and Nomar. It is being reported that a third team is currently not part of an A-Rod to Boston deal so Manny will stay in Texas. Manny will be moved if A-Rod comes to the Hub. An A-Rod for Manny deal would be great for the Sox. Unfortunately, it is very unlikely to happen. The Sox would need to pony up more to acquire A-Rod. The Sox would need to take on one or more of Texas' bad contracts and/or include at least one good young, cheap pitcher along with Manny to get the $25 million man.

The Sox are not willing to pay Chan Ho-ly "Sh#t there goes another one" Park with $42 and three years left on his contract. Does Scott Boras have incriminating evidence involving blow, tequila, hookers, and a goat on Tom Hicks because I do not think Hicks is an idiot? It is possible for the Sox to absorb any combination or all of the following one-year deals: Rusty Greer ($7.4 plus a buyout), Jeff Zimmerman ($4.3) and Jay Powell ($3). The Sox have been willing to take a one-time hit in the past, but they would also be increasing a long-term liability/player's guaranteed salary in the process.

Theo has not been reluctant to move pitching prospects to help the big club. Although the most notable exception was not including Casey Fossum in a deal for Bartolo Colon last winter. The consensus is that Jorge De La Rosa is the Sox best pitching prospect, Jon Lester is another hot prospect and Jerome Gamble has just been added to the 40-man roster. If the Sox were to include any of the above three or any other cheap pitcher (Fossum, Lyon, Arroyo) Theo would have to attain similar or better players for Nomar. A deal for Nomar would likely have to be in place prior to the conclusion of acquiring A-Rod.

The final scenario begins with the Sox signing Keith Foulke making Scott Williamson expendable. The underlying notion is that effective, not dominate, middle relievers are easily replaceable in your system, through the trade market or via free agency. Williamson and Manny are traded to Texas. Williamson stablizes the Rangers pen at a reasonable rate, Manny's bat replaces A-Rod and Boston gets the best all-round player in the game.

In conclusion, a Manny, Lyon and Gamble for A-Rod and Greer deal would work out best for all parties. The Sox would be okay financially and get the AL MVP! The additional estimated $12 million would be offset by Nomar's salary coming off the books. The Rangers gain two interesting young inexpensive pitchers filing their most desperate need on the field and off, saving cash. The key for the Sox would be attaining fair value for Nomar in a deal while filling the voids in left or first and at second while staying within budget. Theo would need to be sure the task could be accomplished before pulling the trigger.

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