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Friday, April 30, 2010

FINEST NINE TWEETS FROM THE LAST WEEK

1) Red Sox signing of Cuban, Adalberto Ibarra, tells me they have less confidence than say publicly bout internal C prospects (cont)

2) Many think the Red Sox and media over hype all of their prospects and same goes for Yankees. Always b skeptical or don't believe the hype.

3) RT @jaypeakdeals:..opening Thursday-Sunday..ticket deal. $39 gets you a lift ticket..a full lunch at Tower Bar inside Tram Haus Lodge.

4) RT @Jared_Carrabis: Tek has been raking since..wearing his pants down. He should change his plate music to "Pants On the Ground." MVP season

5) @drjefflo @Sean_McAdam I was at some of those expos games-same product, sit anywhere for $5, easy parking, no lines. It wasn't all bad

6) @immortalkid Howard signing is a classic case of paying for past rather than future performance; cherry on top is he wasn't even fa.

7) Reason I didn't draft him injury risk RT @Buster_ESPN: Heard this: Brett Anderson will be out the next 4 to 6 weeks, with the flexor strain.

8) Awesome! RT @MLBNetwork: Solid 60 is..at 9pm ET with 60 commercial-free min of all the latest highlights, updates from tonight's games.

9) Ellsbury 07 track RT @AmalieBenjamin: Lars Anderson was promoted to Triple A, after hitting .355 with 5 homers,16 RBI in Double A.

SURE HAS BEEN A GHOST LATELY

If you are missing me, I'm writing once a week on Saturdays for Fire Brand of the American League. I'll still be posting here and I'm active on twitter. And since I'm new to the ranks of the unemployed, it is likely I'll be writing/posting/tweeting more and more.

Monday, April 19, 2010

THE PANIC BUTTON HAS BEEN LOCATED AND DUSTED OFF


But I'm not ready to push it until after May 13 or when the Olde Towne Team has completed playing 20 out of 26 games at Fenway. As bad as the Sox have looked, it is still early...right?...right?

Sunday, April 11, 2010

FINEST NINE TWEETS FROM THE LAST WEEK

1) @IanMBrowne Ortiz should have been all over that 3-1 fastball. I'm concerned. I heart David Ortiz.

2) If Andy Pettitte can throw his curve ball for strikes, then he is usually tough.

3) This is late but a very good article by @AmalieBenjamin on the Red Sox Tom Tippett

4) To my NYC followers, get there RT @alchemistbeer: Four of my beers will be on tap this Sunday at the Blind Tiger Ale House in NYC.

5) Good informative article on Burlington, VT finances and Jonathan Leopold by Kevin J. Kelly for @Seven_Days

6) Same for me and I would never leave my apt. RT @amandarykoff: I've decided not to get MLB Extra Innings. If I get it, I will never not watch baseball.

7) Wondering if CC Sabathia wears #52 because it matches his pant size?

8) Red Sox fans should hope that LeBron James goes anywhere other than to the N.J. Nets. It would be a huge revenue boost for Yes Network a.k.a. the MFY.

9) Does David Ortiz get tossed this yr more than Rasheed Wallace? He seems angry so far this spring.

Monday, April 05, 2010

RANDOM RUMBLINGS ON OPENING NIGHT

* I felt dirty after watching Dr Dre and company big pimpin’ his headphones.

* On a scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being the best, Pedro Martinez throwing out the first pitch was a 536.

* Keri Hilson was by far the best singer in the house last night and the cutest.

* To Joshua Sacco’s parents, your family’s 15 minutes are up. To the Red Sox Game Day Production Department, C’mon; not applicable.

* The good and bad of Curtis Granderson were on display last night. Good: home run power. Bad: poor jumps in center and useless against lefties.

* C.C. Sabathia has always been big but last night he looked fat with a beer belly.

* Could Heidi Whatney have quasi-man man hands?

* David Ortiz not being able to catch up to good fastballs when everyone knows the gas is coming is a horrible sign.

* Ryan Westmoreland sitting in Theo's box was the best part of Opening Night.


(boston.barstoolsports.com.com)

* Steven Tyler should be doing anti-drug commercials not signing.

* Score one for the pink hats: Neil Diamond horribly sang "Sweet Caroline”, at least the Sox were up in the eighth.

* Winning the first game is fine, but winning the last game of the year in October is what really counts.

Saturday, April 03, 2010

MY FANTASY BASEBALL AUCTION

My strategy was different than usual this year due to the high number of quality of multiple positions eligible players – Zobrist, Figgins, Lopez, Beckham – at scarce places around the diamond. The notion is value flexibility more than in years past for trades, injuries/free agent pickups and day-to-day match ups. The other offensive thought was to acquire the top speed over power players. Even though stolen bags are more plentiful than in years past, it concentrated in the top 10 unlike power. The A.L. has many 1B/OF/DH types that are projected to hit 20-30 bombs that could go undrafted. As for pitching, keeping Grienke and Feliz pushed me into a Santana type strategy or one stud + LIMA.
 
The other point of emphasis was to supplement my quantitative analysis with more qualitative information or scouting reports.  If more advanced baseball metrics was becoming more prevalent, then it would be likely that many of my competitors would be incorporating them into their strategies.  Hence, I needed to have more and/or better information to find undervalued players. 

League Parameters: $100 budget, eight team, 5x5 with OBP and HRA

Keepers:
Grienke - 19
Feliz – 2
Napoli – 5

Auctioned:
Zobrist – 11
Shields – 11
Beckham – 9
Hunter – 9
ARamirez – 6
RSoriano – 5
JLopez – 5
Pierre – 3
Niemann – 3
RDavis – 2
CPerez - 2

My hitting strategy went as planned. On the pitching side, I ventured and got Shields. He was not cheap, but more quality innings would allow me to take more chances later. Unfortunately, I didn’t have that opportunity. Yahoo crapped out on me at the end of the auction killed my shot at Fausto Carmona and Francisco Liriano - two targets due to my qualitative analysis – and gave me Niemann and RDavis.  Overall the auction went well except at the end, as yahoo $hit the bed and auto drafted unwanted players.
 
Post-script: I was able to trade JLopez and Niemann for Rios and Carmona.  This is a risky trade as both Rios and Carmona are trying to comeback from poor 2009 seasons.  But in a perfect world, Carmona would be a keeper at $4 pairing with Feliz to be my two front line starters costing only $7 compared to this season’s $30.  As for Rios, he completes my White Sox runners.  According to Buster Olney, Ozzie Guillen is going to run a lot this year so many Other Sox projections are probably light on stolen bases and undervalue Rios, Pierre, Beckham, and ARamirez.  Konerko is not a runner; Quentin has a foot problem and the remaining Other Sox didn’t make it on my board.  I’m officially happy with my team.

Thank you - Red Sox!

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