Tuesday, August 19, 2008
As the amateur draft signing deadline has past – August 15th, the Sox are probably happy about the load of talent they are bringing into the organization. It certainly cost them – upwards of $10 million according to Jim Callis of Baseball America. (Other later pick notables not mentioned by Callis are Ryan Lavarnway and Richie Wasielewski. Lavarnway is a sixth-rounder given third-round money - 325K. Wasielewski was selected in the 36th round and the Sox signed him for 135K, which usually goes to sixth round picks.) The Olde Towne Team did save a few bucks relative to recent years, as they didn’t spend so much in the international market. Regardless, this is an impressive sign that the Sox are going to take advantage of a flawed system – the acquisition of amateur talent – while they still can.
The next CBA is likely to further change the draft and where it could possibly include international players, trading picks, etc. It seems like many options will be on the table. The draft could change dramatically. Hence, it seems peculiar that Alex Meyer would turn down a REPORTED $2 million offer from the Sox. For Meyer to rationally turn down the Sox reported offer, he would need to believe that:
* no changes to the next CBA in 2011 would diminish the college draftee’s leverage - Meyers is eligible for the draft again in 2011,
* 10% signing bonus inflation,
* he will be a top 20 selection
Even though Meyer’s agent, no Advisor, is Scott Boras, it is not in Boras’ interest to have him go to school; he will not get paid and maybe never. I think it is either Meyer having no desire to turn pro or taking a chance on above three conditions.
One other item to note is the MFY had a big set back when their first-round selection and top 15 talent, Gerrit Cole, did not sign. They also didn’t ink Scott Bittle from the second-round. They do get supplemental selections next year and brought in some nice international talent, but the Sox did a better job from this unbiased blogger. Is it too early to start planning for my MFY elimination pardo?